Slide in Remodeling Spending Likely to Drag On

Home improvement spending is expected to remain "volatile and weak" over the next several quarters, according to the Leading Indicator of Remodeling Activity (LIRA) released today by the Remodeling Futures Program at the Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University. It predicts annual remodeling spending through the first quarter of 2012 will be down 4 percent.

"The recent slowdown in the economy has caused home improvement spending to weaken again," said Eric S. Belsky, managing director of the Joint Center. "Falling consumer confidence levels have undermined interest in discretionary remodeling projects."

The LIRA is designed to estimate national homeowner spending on improvements for the current quarter and subsequent three quarters.

"What looked to be a promising upturn in home improvement spending earlier this year has begun to stall," said Kermit Baker, director of the Remodeling Futures Program at the Joint Center. "Housing starts, existing home sales, and house prices have all been disappointing lately, which has dimmed prospects for home improvement spending gains this year."

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